Monday, August 3, 2026

Maher Is On A Roll

 https://x.com/redwavepress/status/2083536236778508394?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Bill Maher TORCHES Communists Democrats: “Two Democratic congressmen released an open pledge that they wanted their fellow Democratic members to sign. It said, ‘We are capitalist, not socialist. We want safety, not lawlessness. We are proud, not ashamed of America.’” 
“You know how many did [sign onto the pledge]? 8 out of 212.” 
“Guys, really there’s got to be an easier way to LOSE the swing states.”"

 https://x.com/overton_news/status/2083427458896810414?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Bill Maher reads Anthony Fauci’s own diary entries to prove the point that Fauci’s shameless self-promotion makes President Trump’s quotes look tame by comparison. The moment Maher started putting the two side by side, the audience lost it. MAHER: “And for the people who say, you know, Trump, he just lived by people kissing his ass.” “I got some of the Fauci…this is from Fauci’s diary, compared to some of the things Trump has said.” Trump: “A strong man came up to me…tough kind of a guy. He said, ‘I want to thank you, Mr. President.’ He had tears coming in his eyes.” Fauci (diary): “The nurses went absolutely wild to see me. They were squealing and laughing and clapping. It was something to behold!” Trump: “I’ve been on the cover of Time magazine 14 or 15 times. I think we have an all-time record.” Fauci (diary): “Many print profiles and features on me. Ridiculous. Too many to count!” Fauci (diary): “I’m such a valuable spokesperson and a good communicator.” Trump: “I have a very good brain.” “So I’m just saying…”"

https://x.com/billmaher/status/2083391019182399653

 "I'm not voting for anyone who thinks the wrong side won the Cold War or cheers for the Intifada like it's the World Cup."

 "Strangely enough, Dan probably will."

 

 https://x.com/vigilantfox/status/2083417293267108344?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Bill Maher’s audience audibly gasps when he reads what the Democratic Socialists of America are actually saying out loud: MAHER: “Trump has told 1 trillion lies, but when he says the DSA are actually COMMUNISTS, that’s not one of them.” “And it’s not hard to prove it just by quoting the DSA and their candidates.” “J.D. Vance was on the show, and I told him that if the Democratic Party keeps going in the direction of the DSA, my vote was in play. And all I heard all vacation was, ‘Oh, my God, you’re a Republican now.’ No, that's not what I said. I said in play, and here’s why.” “Because not a week goes by where I don’t read about some newly chosen, exciting new face in the Democratic Party. And then when that face opens its mouth, the Communist Manifesto or some other crazy shit comes out! Again.” “Let’s just read the quotes. The DSA platform says: ‘You work as much as you are able and no more than needed.’ If that was any closer to Karl Marx’s dictum, from each according to his abilities, to each according to his needs, they’d be sued for plagiarism.” “New York Mayor Mamdani once tweeted, Karl Marx’s words exactly. They’re not trying to hide it. Their most popular influencer, Hasan Piker, thinks communism is so groovy, he laments the fall of two of the most murderous regimes in history, the Soviet Union and Chairman Mao's China.” “Mamdani's aide, his top aide, Cea Weaver, said, ‘If you don't believe in the government's sacred right to seize property, it's over.’ And ‘impoverish the white middle class.’ What? That's a goal? You know you're supposed to scare people into voting for you, right?” “One of the new, soon-to-be Democratic congresspeople, Darlesia Chavalier, supports seizing all properties from landlords and said, ‘Seize the means of production.’ Mamdani has said ‘The end goal is seizing the means of production.’ I think they want to seize the means of production.” “Now, maybe you missed that in school or missed school altogether, but THAT'S COMMUNISM.” “Now the coalition within the DSA called the Marxist Unity Group is in ascendance. And I must take them at their word. When their words include, ‘Our commitment is to the long-term struggle for a fully liberated classless society. In a word, communism.’” “What do they have to do, tweet out ‘Elect more communists’? Oh, yeah, Cea Weaver did that.” [Shows tweet, audience audibly gasps] “Yes, [she really did that]! ... People gotta realize this is going on.”"

Muslim/Quran BOT

 https://x.com/eternalbread_/status/2084049813629231166?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

The Quran says that baby Jesus spoke in the cradle. Why doesn't the Bible mention this? Muslims will say "because the Bible was corrupted." But wait a minute. Don't you guys say they corrupted the Bible to make Jesus look like God? Well wouldn't Jesus talking in the cradle help make it appear he was God? So why would they remove that part? I'll tell you the real reason it's not in the Bible. Because the Quran stole that story from the rejected fake gospel known as the Infancy Gospel of Thomas. The early church rejected that gospel as heretical. It was written during the 600 year period between Jesus & Muhammad. How did Muhammad hear that story? Well he was a merchant surrounded by Jewish & heretical Christian tribes. This is one of the many stories he plagiarized from fake gospels + Jewish folklore."

 

 

But the Quran is perfect, because Mo said so.  Right?   

 https://x.com/korrathetaymi/status/2083341931237789830

Without the Quran , the Bible Makes NO SENSE.

 https://x.com/danburmawy/status/2083533992637198593?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Sure, without the 388 verses about Muhammad’s sex life, the 142 verses about beheading infidels, and the 50 verses about Muhammad’s wives and their quarrels, how could we possibly understand the redemptive history of Israel, covenant, Logos, and Pauline philosophy?"

  https://x.com/deenratio/status/2083258895821058146?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

The day many Muslims realised how badly Muhammad compares with Jesus was the day I posted that Jesus forgave the adulterous woman, while Muhammad ordered adulterers to be killed. It was a rude awakening for many of them. In their desperation to defend Muhammad, some even started claiming the story of Jesus forgiving the adulterous woman was fabricated, throwing around all kinds of arguments. They simply could not believe that Jesus responded with such mercy and wisdom instead of demanding an execution."

 

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ROP and Immigration BOT

 https://x.com/basilthegreat/status/2083096042690551902?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "To the leftists claiming Ceuta does not belong to Spain because it was taken in 1415 Are you going to tell the Turks to give Constantinople back to the Christians? Cos they took that in 1453."

 https://x.com/wil_da_beast630/status/2083445207261970760?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 

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 "Western prey morality is invoked by China, the various Arabs, Russia, India and Nigeria, etc ONLY in the context of exploiting useful idiots. Can anyone truly be mad enough to believe that these legendary historical rivals and ruthless current peers actually just care about "minority representation inside the USA," or "queer environmental justice," or wotever?"

 

Socialism BOT

 https://x.com/robschneider/status/2083417007878230245?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 

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 "The DEMOCRATS’ PLAN is THIS: Make AMERICAN LIVES so INTOLERABLE so WE will GIVE UP ALL of OUR GOD GIVEN CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS to end the CHAOS. THIS is why we have the 2nd Amendment. When they come, they will quickly learn that WE PATRIOTS have WITH US; The Army, Marines, Navy, National Guard, Air Force, Police and Fire Departments. They have the purple haired people with body dysphoria and body odor."

 

 https://x.com/badhombre/status/2083586051369480344?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Let’s take it from the top again. Here’s the Democrat lineup going into the midterms: - A diagnosed-bipolar Asian chick with a history of self-harm who’s been institutionalized in a psychiatric ward and overdosed on lithium, and wants to get rid of Thanksgiving. - A guy who plays with a Dr. Fauci doll, proclaims his “love for trans kids,” and met his girlfriend at a gay bar. - A guy who dresses up as a mechanic for fun, married his cousin, and knocked her up twice. - A guy who frequents events where participants get pissed on in a kiddie pool while wearing assless chaps, whose claim to fame is lowering the age of consent for men to have sex with boys as young as 12, decriminalizing knowingly infecting others with AIDS, and supports allowing convicted pedophiles to run for school board. - A Haitian chick who thinks the United States is a “f*cking disgrace,” wants to abolish borders, law enforcement, and prisons. - A Muslim guy who believes the U.S. deserved 9/11, is funded by the Muslim Brotherhood, and whose wife and father-in-law have terrorist connections."

 

 https://x.com/americandebunk/status/2083329625313124654?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "NEW: David Sacks walks us through the logical endgame of Mamdani’s discounted grocery stores and calls out the ID irony Sacks: “When people go to these stores when they first open and the shelves are full — yeah, people will be delighted. And then over time what’s going to happen is that the store shelves will be empty, it’s going to be incompetently run, and there’s going to be a lot of complaints about it. Then all the free-market stores are going to have to compete with this, they may get put out of business, and then you have fewer choices. It is ironic that they’re going to be checking ID to make sure people aren’t going over from Jersey. But if you want to come over illegally from any country in the world, then that’s just fine.” Jason: “They found a use for ID. By the way, after you get your groceries you have to hide your ID to vote. Shred your ID when you go vote after you pick out your milk. They found a use for IDs.”"

 "One of Ayn Rand's very best observations, which has aged like fine wine: "Socialism is not a movement of the people. It is a movement of the intellectuals, originated, led and controlled by the intellectuals, carried by them out of their stuffy ivory towers into those bloody fields of practice where they unite with their allies and executors: the thugs.""

 

 

 

 

 

Self Interest Is Good

 https://x.com/creativededuct/status/2083518565722755552?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "Adam Smith’s most famous sentence remains one of the clearest statements in all of social science: “It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.” The point is simple and profound. We do not rely on the kindness of strangers to put food on the table. We rely on their self-interest. The butcher supplies meat because he profits by doing so. The baker rises early because customers will pay for bread. Their desire to improve their own condition leads them, without any central direction, to serve ours. This is the central mechanism of a market economy. Self-interest, channelled through voluntary exchange, produces cooperation on a vast scale. No one has to love their customers or share their political views. They only have to respond to incentives. The result is a system that regularly feeds, clothes, and houses millions of people who will never meet. Many on the left still struggle to accept this. Self-interest is treated as morally suspect - a form of greed that should be restrained or replaced by appeals to solidarity and collective purpose. The preference is for systems that rely on moral exhortation or state direction rather than on the everyday pursuit of personal advantage. Yet the historical record is clear: societies that suppress self-interest in the name of higher motives tend to produce shortages, stagnation, and coercion. Societies that allow people to benefit from serving others tend to produce abundance. Smith’s insight is not a celebration of selfishness. It is a recognition of reality. People are more reliable when they can improve their own lives by improving the lives of others. That simple alignment of interests remains the most powerful engine of social cooperation ever discovered."

Socialism BOT

 https://x.com/rothmus/status/2084255521511518339?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "The first Marxist ever elected president of a democracy destroyed Chile in under 3 years. Allende won in 1970 promising a peaceful “Chilean road to socialism” by nationalizing the copper mines, the banks, and the farmland. And so to pay for the whole project, the government printed money and imposed price controls. Naturally, inflation hit 200% by 1972. The controls failed, shelves emptied, and people stood in lines for hours while prices ran past 500% a year. By September 1973, when the economy was in freefall, the military stormed the presidential palace, and Allende died inside it. Economists later called the entire sequence “macroeconomic populism”, a populist boom that always ends in the collapse it tried to outrun. Whether democratically elected or taken with brute force, the pattern of economic collapse under socialism is undefeated, almost like you can’t choose to ignore the consequences of ignoring reality."

 

This seems to be the kind of thing  Dan finds acceptable. 

 

https://x.com/amuse/status/2083905349011066893?s=51&t=cLq01Oy84YkmYPZ-URIMYw

 "SOCIALISM: Francesca Hong is running for Gov of Wisconsin. When she aired this commercial her restaurant had failed, shut for over a year, sued by Capital One for $30K in unpaid debt & her parents had to pay & her only income was from politics."

Why would we want our candidates to tell us the Truth? 

 https://x.com/Handre/status/2044340935018811884

Vienna. 1919.
The Austro-Hungarian Empire has just collapsed. The war has been lost. The old order is gone, and what replaces it is not yet clear.
Hungary has already fallen to a communist revolution. Germany has seen one attempted. In Austria, socialist agitators are making their case in the streets while the government tries to hold the country together. Otto Neurath — philosopher, socialist, and true believer — has just published a pamphlet arguing that a centrally planned economy is not only possible but scientifically superior to the chaos of markets. The intellectual class is largely sympathetic. The historical moment feels decisive.
Ludwig von Mises, thirty-seven years old, veteran of the Eastern Front, economic adviser at the Vienna Chamber of Commerce, reads Neurath's pamphlet. Then he sits down and writes the paper that should have stopped socialism in its tracks before it killed anyone.
He delivers it as a lecture in 1919. He publishes it in April 1920 in the Archiv für Sozialwissenschaften. The title, translated: "Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth."
The argument is not ideological. It is not a defence of capitalism on moral grounds, not an appeal to freedom or tradition or the rights of property. It is a logical proof. Socialism, Mises argues, cannot work — not because the people running it are corrupt or incompetent, but because the information required to run it does not exist in any form a planner can access. The Soviet Union would spend the next seventy years trying to prove him wrong. It could not. The Proof, Explained Simply
Start with a question that sounds basic: how does a factory manager in a socialist economy decide whether to make chairs out of wood or steel?
In a market economy, the answer is straightforward. Wood has a price. Steel has a price. Labour has a price. The manager compares costs, weighs the alternatives against what customers will pay for the finished product, and makes the decision that produces a profit. The price system does the calculating. It aggregates the preferences of every buyer and seller of wood and steel and labour across the entire economy into a single number that the manager can use.
Now remove private ownership of the means of production. Wood is no longer bought and sold between competing owners — it is allocated by the planning bureau. Steel is allocated by the planning bureau. There are no market transactions in capital goods, because the state owns all of them. There are no prices for the inputs, because prices require exchange, and exchange requires private property.
Without prices for capital goods, the manager cannot calculate. He cannot determine whether wood or steel is the more economical choice, because "economical" has no meaning without a price relationship connecting inputs to outputs. He can produce chairs. He cannot know whether producing them is worth what it costs, because the cost cannot be expressed in any coherent unit.
Multiply this across an entire economy — millions of goods, billions of input combinations, constantly shifting supply and demand — and the impossibility becomes total. Rational economic planning without market prices is not merely difficult. The information simply does not exist. You cannot calculate with numbers that don't exist.
Mises put it plainly: "Where there is no market, there is no price system, and where there is no price system, there can be no economic calculation."
 
 
The Attempt at a Rebuttal
Sixteen years passed. Then, in 1936, Polish economist Oskar Lange published what became the mainstream economics establishment's official answer to Mises.
Lange opened his paper with elaborate flattery. "Socialists have certainly good reason to be grateful to Professor Mises," he wrote, "the great advocatus diaboli of their cause. For it was his powerful challenge that forced socialists to recognise the importance of an adequate system of economic accounting." Then he proceeded to argue that a central planning board could simulate market prices through trial and error — observing shortages and surpluses, adjusting prices until they cleared, and thereby mimicking what markets do spontaneously.
The mainstream economics profession embraced this as a decisive rebuttal. The calculation debate, they declared, was over. Mises had raised a legitimate problem; Lange had solved it.
Hayek dismantled Lange's response in a series of essays, most devastatingly in "The Use of Knowledge in Society" in 1945. The problem was not finding the right prices through trial and error, Hayek showed — it was that the information needed to set them is not available to any central authority in the first place. The knowledge is dispersed, local, tacit, and constantly changing. The market doesn't just solve the calculation problem; it is the only mechanism capable of generating the information needed to solve it. No planning board, however sophisticated, can replicate what millions of individual buyers and sellers communicate to each other through price signals every second of every day.
The mainstream economics profession had heard Lange and declared victory. They had not heard Hayek. The USSR pressed ahead.
Lange's Model, Applied
When Soviet-controlled communism was imposed on Poland after World War II, Oskar Lange returned from his comfortable position at the University of Chicago to help build the new socialist economy. The state planners did not use his trial-and-error model. They used Soviet-style central planning — arbitrary output targets, fixed prices, production quotas handed down from ministries with no feedback mechanism connecting them to actual human needs.
Lange's theoretical system was never implemented anywhere it was actually supposed to be tested. The gap between what he had proposed in the 1936 paper and what actually happened in every socialist country that tried central planning tells you something important: even the socialists who theoretically defeated Mises couldn't build what they claimed was possible. They defaulted, every time, to the cruder version — the one Mises had already shown was doomed.
The results were consistent across every country and every decade. Queues for basic goods. Chronic shortages alongside surpluses nobody wanted. Factories producing the wrong things in the wrong quantities. Agricultural sectors that couldn't feed their own populations. The information that markets generate through prices — and that planning boards cannot generate through any other mechanism — was simply absent, and the absence was catastrophic. The Score, Settled
In 1991 the Soviet Union dissolved. Shortly before it did, Soviet economists and officials began admitting privately — and then publicly — that Mises had been right in 1920. The system had never been able to calculate rationally. Decades of apparent production had been mostly waste. The statistics had been falsified. The shortages had been real.
The mainstream economics profession, which had declared Lange the winner of the debate in the 1930s, did not issue a correction. The textbooks were not updated. The history of the debate was quietly buried. Most economics students today have never heard of it, let alone been taught that one side was definitively, empirically, catastrophically vindicated.
Mises published his proof in 1920 as a relatively young man, working in a government office while socialist revolutionaries tried to seize the streets below his window. The experiment he warned against ran for seventy years across a third of the world's surface. When it ended, it confirmed everything he had said.
None of the people who ignored him apologised. Most of them are still in charge of economic education.
 
 The calculation problem was only one of Mises's contributions to economics. Having proved that socialism cannot calculate, he set out to build something far larger — a complete system of economic theory derived from first principles, with no assumptions borrowed from mathematics or historical data. That project, decades in the making, produced the most ambitious work in the history of the discipline. "Rational economic activity is impossible in a socialist commonwealth." — Ludwig von Mises, Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth, 1920"

 

LIES?

 https://www.queermajority.com/essays-all/the-needless-self-sabotaging-lies-of-the-lgbt-movement

Few things engender as much bitterness as discovering you have been lied to by a cause you believed in.

In a recent article in the New York Times, the writer and same-sex marriage pioneer Andrew Sullivan describes where he believes the LGBT movement lost the plot. He primarily focuses on trans activism and specifically the denial of sex differences, and while I agree that this is responsible for much of the recent erosion in public support for LGBT causes, the problems are deeper and older. Long before trans issues grabbed the movement’s spotlight, much of LGB activism was grounded in false or misleading claims. Some of these falsehoods may have been useful in the short term, but they made the movement fragile. Avoiding cyclical backlash and creating durable support for LGBT rights and liberties requires going back to the basics: we must ground our arguments in true claims and simple moral principles.

When I was a high school sophomore in 2009, I participated in a protest against anti-gay bullying. I wore duct tape over my mouth for one school day, with pre-printed notes explaining my reasons to teachers and curious students. This was meant to symbolize the silence imposed through fear on LGBT people, and was done in the name of Matthew Shepard, who I believed had been killed in a homophobic hate crime. I repeated the protest the following year as a junior in 2010. I also stood up to teachers on more than one occasion who insisted that homosexuality was a choice.

Growing up as an atheist in one of the most religious states in the US, I was accustomed to taking unpopular stances and unbothered by social disapproval. I saw advocacy for LGBT rights as a natural extension of my commitment to rationality, since the only arguments I ever saw opposing them were religious. I had a gay uncle who was always kind to me, and the idea that he should be discriminated against or barred from marriage struck me as a monstrous intrusion of unreason into the private life of a good man.

Over time, I adopted, largely uncritically, many of the other key talking points of the LGBT rights movement. I believed that most AIDS deaths were primarily the fault of President Reagan for not responding to the epidemic. I believed that exclusive homosexuality was ubiquitous in the animal kingdom. And I believed that gay people essentially wanted to live identical lives to straight people but with a same-sex partner.

As I gained awareness of trans issues, I likewise accepted various narratives on the basis that they were the scientific consensus. I thought trans people had brains more similar to their identified sex than their birth sex, that being trans is always innate, and that transition reliably improves mental health.

I do not believe that the truth depends on one’s personal experiences and perspective, but I cannot avoid mentioning that I transitioned (male-to-female) in 2019 and have since detransitioned. While I was trans, I was deeply embedded in my local LGBT community and participated in just about every kind of sex and relationship configuration that exists. I am not someone who simply lacks an open mind, has an overactive disgust response, or doesn’t truly understand the community. This is something I lived.

My experiences in LGBT communities put the first cracks in my confidence in the left-activist view of these issues. Among the trans and gender-nonconforming people I knew, I saw no signs of improved mental health as they embraced their “true selves”, nor did I see any improvement in my own mental health as I took ever more steps in my transition. Furthermore, it did not seem to me that the trans women I knew were psychologically female in any recognizable sense. Most still dominated conversations, had poor theories of mind, moved and stood and sat in masculine ways, and were highly sexually aggressive. As someone who suffered sexual abuse from a man as a child, the latter was especially concerning to me.

In hindsight, I believe my transition was motivated, at least in part, by a desire to escape men due to this childhood experience. Now here we all were — welcomed into women’s spaces and conversations. My own escape hatch let the thing I was running from in behind me. Of course, none of this is scientific or generalizable, and I don’t believe that childhood molestation is a common cause of transgender identity. But it shaped how I reacted to my experiences in the community and motivated me to seek out evidence. And when I did, I found that almost everything I thought I knew was at best unsupported and at worst a lie.

Let’s go down the line:

Matthew Shepard, for example, was not murdered by homophobes in a hate crime. He was involved in drug-dealing and prostitution, and one of his killers was a gay former lover, most likely out to steal a $10,000 shipment of methamphetamine that was in Shepard’s possession. This fact pattern is persuasively laid out and argued in The Book of Matt: Hidden Truths about the Murder of Matthew Shepard (2013) by gay journalist Stephen Jimenez.

It’s also not true that the government didn’t care about the spread of HIV. The virus spread so rapidly in the gay male (and to a lesser extent bi male) population because of the high transmission rate from unprotected anal sex, the fact that these men would often alternate between topping and bottoming, and the extreme promiscuity in the community. It was known by the 1980s that the disease was likely sexually transmitted, and various local governments and researchers beseeched gay bathhouses (popular locations for hookups and orgies) in cities such as San Francisco to close or at least do more to ensure safe sex. When these pleas fell on deaf ears and the San Francisco city government moved to close the bathhouses, protesters carried signs that said “today the baths, tomorrow the ovens”, comparing efforts to keep gay men alive to the Holocaust.

The attempts to stop the epidemic in San Francisco are documented in an illuminating collection of interviews with public health officials and experts involved in the effort. Today, HIV prevention and treatment medication is one of the only categories of medical care provided for free by the federal government to anyone who needs it and can’t afford it, alongside kidney dialysis. I take exception to the tone of the standard narrative that the government did not move as fast as some activists would have liked to protect the community from its own high-risk behavior. I believe in the freedom of adults to engage in almost any consensual activity, however risky, but it is unseemly to then act like a victim when the risks are realized.

 

I likewise discovered that while homosexual behavior is observed in many species, exclusive homosexuality is observed only in humans and domesticated sheep (it’s actually bisexuality that’s widespread in nature). The conflation of these two phenomena (bisexuality versus exclusive homosexuality) is clearly driven by a desire to bolster a certain narrative — one that is not necessary. I very much doubt there are many people whose support of LGBT rights hinges on the existence of exclusive homosexuality in hundreds of nonhuman species. On the contrary, building a case for LGBT rights and acceptance using falsehoods risks alienating allies who discover the truth — because people don’t like being lied to.

In terms of chosen lifestyles, gay people are not identically comparable to straight folks. 10 years after Obergefell, marriage rates for gay men and lesbians lag far behind those of straight people, and these relationships are disproportionately likely to be non-monogamous. Over the past 15 years, surveys have found that between 30% and 50% of gay men were in open relationships. There is no particular reason this is bad, but the idea that gay people are just straight people with swapped sex preferences is false and doesn’t account for the sex differences between male and female sexuality. Predicating the movement on the idea that most gay folks want a monogamous marriage and a white picket fence may have been effective, but it was always misleading.

This brings us to trans issues. Perhaps the first lie to mention is the “brain sex” model of transgender identity. The idea that trans people usually have observably opposite-sex brains was driven by sloppy neuroscience. To be sure, we do observe some cross-sex shift in the brains of transgender individuals: the average volume of certain brain regions among the trans women population is shifted in the direction of the female average relative to the male average. But we also observe this in non-trans-identifying gay men. Newer studies that control for sexuality show no net cross-sex shift, and neither do uncontrolled studies whose samples include very few transgender people who are also strictly homosexual. Another factor that has clouded the discourse is that in the past, most trans-identified people were exclusively homosexual, but now less than one-fifth are, so very few have cross-sex-shifted brains even in the limited sense established by earlier studies, and most people with cross-sex-shifted brains do not identify as trans.

The claim that being trans is an innate part of a person is similarly weak. Gender dysphoria — the sense of incongruence between and distress over one’s sex and gender identity — is a real phenomenon, though it remains an area with more questions than definitive answers. The strongest typology of trans women transitioners is sex researcher Ray Blanchard’s two-type model. He classifies trans women into two categories: homosexual transsexuals (HSTS) and autogynephiles (AGP). HSTSs are exclusively homosexual, showing both physical and behavioral signs of feminization before transition, and tend to transition earlier (though this may be less true today). They typically transition not due to a sense of being trapped in the wrong body, but often to escape homophobia, attract more masculine men, and better fit into society. AGPs are generally heterosexual or bisexual men who are, in a sense, sexually attracted to the idea of being a woman, which can produce gender dysphoria.

But neither psychological type necessarily leads to a trans identity. Most feminine gay men do not choose to transition, especially in more accepting Western countries. AGP transitioners are also a minority of all men who experience autogynephilia. Many choose to express it merely as a sexual preference rather than adopting a new identity or altering their bodies. Furthermore, the existence of detransitioners — those who, like me, transition, then later transition back — also complicates this narrative that one’s inner sense of self is immutable and unchanging.

As for transitions, the supposed mental health benefits are often cited as the primary argument by advocates in support of both adult and youth transitions. But the evidence supporting these benefits is of low quality. Many of the studies that purport to show the benefits of transition suffer from a host of serious methodological problems, such as small sample sizes, high dropout rates, lack of proper controls, and self-reported outcomes. Evidence reviews find small and highly inconsistent effects of gender-affirming care on objective mental health outcomes, including psychiatric medication use, mental-health-related hospital visits, and suicides. The general trend of more robust studies shows smaller, insignificant, or even negative effects. Perhaps the very best one could say for gender-affirming care is that we have no idea whether it improves patient outcomes. No other medical procedure, especially one with such severe side effects, would be approved with such a shoddy evidence base. Indeed, highly progressive Western European countries, some of which pioneered trans procedures, have since been pumping the brakes on fast-tracked care with insufficient assessment.

 

Many of the most common arguments and narratives used by LGBT activists are lies, distortions, or at best unsupported. And yet LGBT rights remain a vital and worthwhile cause. How then should we advocate for equal rights and dignity? There’s a very simple argument that would have appealed to my younger self and that still convinces me today: personal liberty.

Adults should have the right to engage in consensual behavior with other adults and to bear the costs of that behavior. They should have the right to pay for the body modifications of their choosing. This is the only argument that was ever necessary. It does not require any false or misleading factual claims. It does not require the politicization of science. It stands strong whether homosexuality is pervasive across species and whether sexual orientation or gender identity are innate and unchanging traits.

Choosing this stance could mean giving up some things that activists want. Perhaps it means people cannot force coworkers to use their preferred pronouns, the end of youth medical transitions, and the restoration of many single-sex spaces. It is a stable compromise: leave us alone and we’ll leave you alone. Asking for anything more than this risks throwing us out of equilibrium and creating cycles of oscillating backlash. As soon as you start imposing on other people, they will push back.

Blaming the anti-LGBT backlash on trans activists alone misses the point. We don’t need “LGB without the T”; we just need an LGBT and ally consensus on a truth-centered, morally liberal argument. If the message of the LGBT movement was simply one of personal liberty rather than a demand — grounded in falsehoods — for acceptance, subsidy, and ideological conformity, we would be in a very different cultural and political moment right now. In particular, LGBT rights would very likely have near-total support from the ascendant political faction of our time: the tech right. Freedom is cool. Transhumanism is cool. Hectoring morality campaigns are not. If we embrace self-determination and individualism, we will maintain the right of LGBT people to thrive in society without persecution. If we demand special privileges for ourselves and power over other people’s interests or children, we will bleed public support until all the gains of the past 50 years are washed away."

 

Well, when the LGB activists acknowledge the lies,  I'm not sure how the ABC folx can attack them. 

If Dan reads this, I'm sure he'll try to smear the author and the author of the NYT piece.