Thursday, October 27, 2016

Polls

I know that polls are not always worth much, and that it seems obvious that at east some of what we see reported on is designed to generate headlines and clicks.  I realize that there is only one poll that matters.

Having said that I'm fascinated by the run of recent polling.  We either see Hillary up by double digit % points or we see them in a statistical (margin of error) dead heat.

Clearly one set of these polls is wrong, but it's amusing to watch the spin, especially by the Hillary camp. 

Two anecdotal things I keep hearing are that a significant number of people polled are embarrassed to admit that they will be voting for Trump and that there is a significant number of Black voters who will vote for Trump, but are afraid to say that publicly.   Personally, (given the vitriol directed any anyone claiming that they will vote for Trump), I can see why people might be hesitant to be honest about their voting plans.  I can also see that this might be additionally true in a community where it's virtually mandatory that you vote democrat.

Honestly they both seem a bit like wishful thinking and whistling past the graveyard.

But, just imagine the reaction from the Trump is evil crowd if he wins.  It'd almost be worth seeing Trump win just for the entertainment value.   Not to mention seeing that "If Trump wins I'm moving to Canada." celebrity crowd falling over themselves to come up with excuses not to move.

Here's my only serious election thought.

No matter what you think of the morons at the top of the ticket, please go ahead and vote the sown ballot races.

If Trump wins, he'll need a conservative congress to pass the positive elements of his platform, but also to corral him when he tries to get nutty.

If Hillary wins, we've seen the recent disaster of one party rule in DC and therefore we'll need at least either the House of Senate to keep her from imposing her will on us.


2 comments:

Marshal Art said...

Imagine the boon to the comedy industry should Trump win!!! That alone is worth the price of admission!!!

As I said elsewhere, there will be no slack given to Trump by anyone should he win. Certainly not by the obstructive and sour-grapes Democrats (who are "sour grapes" even when they win), absolutely not by the media, including the entertainment industry, not by the GOP, who will be always waiting for the next embarrassing word to fly from Trump's mouth and in no way will the electorate give him a pass if he doesn't come across as the president he said he'd be.

Clinton, on the other hand, will enjoy the same fluffy pillow treatment as her predecessor simply because she's a woman (as Obama did because he's half-black), as well as constant bowing and fawning by her party and supporters in the electorate. Plus, there will always be those RINOs who will pretend they're compromising on those horrible proposals she'll make, when they should be loudly opposing them.

As to the polls, it depends on who's poll is at issue. Lefty news organizations definitely always show Hillary way ahead.

Craig said...

Of course there's the manipulated ABC poll which had Clinton up by 11-12. Contradicted the next day by one within the margin for error.