Friday, June 9, 2023

Polls

 Polls can be contentious.  Some folx will take poll results that support their position, and cling to those results.  Others will dismiss polls altogether.    I think polls can be valuable as snapshots, and potentially as a measure of trends.   Obviously there are good polling techniques and bad polling techniques, which might cause one to be suspicious of certain poll results.  


https://www.prri.org/research/the-politics-of-gender-pronouns-and-public-education/


Take this poll for example.   It is showing that the number of people who believe that there are only 2 genders is increasing.   I think the interesting slice of the demographic pie is Gen Z.   Gen Z respondents who believe that only 2 genders exist went up by 14 points.   I could be wrong, but that seems like a significant jump.   Gen Z and subsequent gens are the people that the APL tells us are getting increasingly liberal and who will eventually tip the scales to the left.   I can't help but wonder if that result is as set in stone as some think it is.


Obviously this is one poll, one snapshot if you will, of a certain group of people during a certain time period.   Obviously we'd need to see these results polled over a period of time using the exact same methodology before we could begin to see potential trends.  So obviously, I'm not trying to pretend that this is something that it is not.

But, I do wonder if the fact that they have a front row seat (as it were ) to how this is playing out in real life might be sending a message that they are not seeing "good" results among their peers.  It's early in this conversation, and it'll be interesting to watch how this plays out.    It'll also be interesting to watch what happens if The Science is demonstrated to be wrong on this, and how the APL will take care of the folx who made irreversible changes to perfectly healthy and functioning bodies. 

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